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Freakonomics: The Folly of Prediction

The Folly of PredictionThe Folly of Prediction Freakonomics re-published their episode The Folly of Prediction, which looks at the process, art, science, and magic of making predictions. 

At about 28 min in is the segment on how the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service makes crop yield predictions. Joe Prusacki, Director, Statistics Division, helps explain the details on yield predictions.

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Audio: Freakonomics' The Folly of Prediction.

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