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Content about Steve Meyer

August 27, 2013

Making predictions about the future is part of planning. But how is that working over time? And what do you look at?

What are your tools for making predictions and making plans for the future? There are many approaches and many resources. And yet there is no surefire way to really predict 100%. What can you do? First off is to listen to those that are following some of the detail. For example Dr.

June 26, 2013

In 2012 Dr. Meyer said if it rains we have $4 corn and if it doesn't we have $8 corn - and that everyone heard the first part and nobody heard the second part. Where are we today?

Grains and Livestock Economic Outlook - Dr. Steve Meyer, Paragon Economics, from the 2013 World Pork Expo, June 5 - 7, 2013, Des Moines, IA, USA.

Dr. Steve Meyer, Paragon Economics, says key issues in coming months will be input and production costs; demand; output levels for 2013 and 2014; and prices and margins.

He reminded people that in 2012 he said if it rains we have $4 corn and if it doesn't we have $8 corn - and that everyone heard the first part and nobody heard the second part. In summary Dr. Meyer says that corn belt rains have been good, now we need some warm dry days.

March 5, 2013

Can we predict the future with weather, crops, and economics? No, but we can get a sense of direction.

Show Me the Money: Economic Outlook - Dr. Steve Meyer, President of Paragon Economics, from the 2013 Iowa Pork Congress, January 23-24, Des Moines, IA, USA.

February 13, 2012

What are the trends animal agriculture needs to stay on top of?

How will the pork industry fare in 2012? Dr. Steve Meyer says 2012 has five key issues to keep an eye on: exports, U.S. Demand, feed prices, hog/pork supplies, and packing capacity. Steve also highlights the relationships between crops and costs.

Total feed supply is going down. This means we either get more efficient or we get smaller.

January 25, 2012

How will the meat and poultry markets fare in 2012?

Jan 2012 Meyer Swine Economics

Dr. Steve Meyer, Paragon Economics, provided an update on the state of the meat and poultry markets. His main take away is that the demand continued to struggle late 2011.

The bad news is that these "annual" numbers for 2011 have been getting worse and worse as the year has progressed.

Steve reminds us that the indexes only describe how demand is changing, not why a change is occurring. He believes consumer incomes and spending was the major negative force in the domestic market in 2011.

Charts below from Paragon Economics, using USDA data.